Although he'll be the underdog, Murray did beat Djokovic en route to gold at the 2012 Olympics—which were at the All England Club—and in the final of the 2012 US Open. This could be one of the most famous matches in British tennis history. No British male has won Wimbledon since Fred Perry in 1936. No matter what the outcome, this should be a thrilling match. Here is a breakdown of the positives and negatives for each player going into the final.
Djokovic is the best player on the planet. When he's at his best, nobody can touch the 26-year-old. Djokovic had a bit of a hard time on grass in the past. This year, though, you've seen him make the necessary adjustments to ensure that he's as good of a player on grass as he is on other surfaces. One of Djokovic's best assets is his ability to go from defense to offense in one shot. Right when Murray thinks he has the advantage, the Djoker can hit a vicious shot that changes outcome of the point. Djokovic also has the ability to win more cheap points with his powerful groundstrokes. If Murray can turn each point and, in turn, the match into a grind, he has a very good chance of pulling off the upset. But Djokovic is playing his best offensive tennis, he may be able to win this match in fewer than five sets.
As stated earlier, fatigue could turn into a major issue. Djokovic won't be that far removed from a tough five-set win over Juan Martin del Potro on Friday. If Murray can make Djokovic run from sideline to sideline, he might be able to tire Djokovic tire out as the match goes on. Power is one of the things that makes Djokovic so good. On grass, though, some of that power is softened, which should allow Murray to stay in more points.
Possibly the biggest thing going for Murray isn't anything that has to do with him as a player. As a Briton, he'll firmly have the crowd in his favor. Murray is an emotional player, so it will be great to have that much of a groundswell backing him. This is perhaps the strongest Murray has been at Wimbledon. He's had his low points, but he's overcome them with strong tennis. Murray's defense and accuracy have been superb so far. He won't be able to match Djokovic's strength, but Murray can no doubt work the world's No. 1 around the court and tire him out, all the while taking his best blows.
As an emotional player, Murray can sometimes let the match get away from him. A run of bad points can lead to a run of bad games, which can then lead to a bad set. He's kept it in check for the most part, but the problem could arise again. Murray can't afford to let his frustration get the better of him. Djokovic is going to have his runs. Withstanding the onslaught and still coming out strong will be key for Murray. There are many things that have to go right for Murray to win. He'll really have to hit his shots perfectly from the baseline to get Djokovic moving so he doesn't have time to blast winners. Even if Murray plays his best, it might not be enough. He'll need some slip-ups from Djokovic. You can't feel good about a player's chances when he has to rely on the best player in the world messing up.